2018 NBA Rookie of the Year Betting Odds

The NBA Rookie of the Year race is down to a two-man race with Ben Simmons as the favorite and Donovan Mitchell making a late push to steal his thunder. While Jayson Tatum has been great, De’Aaron Fox and Dennis Smith Jr. have been key to their teams and Bam Adebayo has been a highlight reel; it’s all about these two.

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Ben Simmons is probably going to win this award which is why these odds have him at -335. He’s having an absolutely outstanding rookie season, averaging 16 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists. He’s a key part of the resurgence of the Sixers who are headed for a playoff team and he’s doing it without a jump shot. This guy has a bright future.

My pick though, is Donovan Mitchell. He’s getting better every month of the season and has been a key part of pushing the Jazz back into playoff positioning. He’s averaging 19 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists on the year. Since December he’s averaging over 22 points per and has since his minutes go up to around 33 per game. He’ll be key down the stretch for this team and if they do manage to get into the playoffs, I think he’ll get some serious consideration. Winning the Slam Dunk Contest won’t hurt either as it definitely put him into a more national spotlight.

Jayston Tatum is the only other guy I’d really give consideration to, but he’s not near the level of these other two and that is reflected in the odds. Pick one of the top two, I like Mitchell, and go with that. It’s coming down to those two players and the rest of this class doesn’t really have much of a chance.

Sorry to everyone who took Lonzo Ball or Markelle Fultz in the preseason.

NBA Regular Season – Rookie of the Year
Ben Simmons wins Rookie of the Year  -335
Field wins Rookie of the Year  +245
Donovan Mitchell wins Rookie of the Year  +190
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -270
Jayson Tatum wins Rookie of the Year  +3000
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -11000
De’Aaron Fox wins Rookie of the Year  +5000
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -20000
Dennis Smith wins Rookie of the Year  +6000
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -24000
Josh Jackson wins Rookie of the Year  +7500
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -32500
Lonzo Ball wins Rookie of the Year  +10000
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -50000
Markelle Fultz wins Rookie of the Year  +10000
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -50000
Bam Adebayo wins Rookie of the Year  +10000
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -50000
Jonathan Isaac wins Rookie of the Year  +10000
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -50000
Zach Collins wins Rookie of the Year  +15000
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -75000
Frank Ntilikina wins Rookie of the Year  +15000
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -75000
Malik Monk wins Rookie of the Year  +17500
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -87500
Derrick White wins Rookie of the Year  +17500
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -87500
Justin Jackson wins Rookie of the Year  +20000
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -100000
Luke Kennard wins Rookie of the Year  +25000
Field wins Rookie of the Year  -125000

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UPDATED 2/21/18


With the NBA season right around the corner we thought it would be a good time to take a look at the NBA Rookie of the Year odds. This year’s race is expected to be one of the best in years and the odds of a second rounder like Malcolm Brogdon winning this year is extremely unlikely. This class is absolutely stacked.

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The favorites here are Lonzo Ball +275 and Ben Simmons +280. These are two guys who will have the ball in their hands a lot on bad teams. Ball should be the better bet here as Simmons will not be the top option on his team unless something happens to Joel Embiid. He’s also likely to split the vote with teammate Markelle Fultz who is +1000.

From what we saw in Summer League, where Ball won MVP after averaging 16.3 points and a league-leading 9.3 assists to go with 7.7 rebounds and 2.5 steals. That’s hard not to get excited about. Of course, that was against Summer League opponents and not the best players in the world.

Dennis Smith Jr at +370 might be the best bet on the board. He’ll get heavy playing time with the Mavericks this season and his peers voted him as the most likely to win the award. That means that they’ve played against him and they think there is something there. He had a great Summer League, averaging 17.8 points per game. To be fair, that poll among players doesn’t have the best history of predicting winners as it hasn’t been correct since Kevin Durant in 2007.

Perhaps the best sleeper pick is Malik Monk +2800. He was the best scorer of the class in college and he’s going to a team that needs some help with scoring. Kemba Walker is the only other player on that team that is likely to be taking shots so that means a lot of scoring opportunities for Monk. Plus, you have the added bonus of him having a huge chip on his shoulder as he fell down the draft order and was taken a few spots behind where he probably should’ve been.

His former teammate De’Aaron Fox should also be getting some votes at +1200. The problem with him is that George Hill will be the starting point guard and he will be fighting for minutes. Of course, once the season is lost (which should be early) Fox will get more and more playing time. That could work out in his favor and give him a shot in this race.

I don’t love Jayson Tatum +1125. He should get minutes, but he’s going to a playoff team that should be one of the top two teams in the East. Shots will be hard to come by with Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward on the court and you have to score to win this award.

Complete odds are below courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.

2018 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds
Lonzo Ball   +275
Ben Simmons   +280
Dennis Smith   +370
Markelle Fultz   +1000
Jayson Tatum   +1125
De’Aaron Fox   +1200
Donovan Mitchell   +1850
Josh Jackson   +2000
Malik Monk   +2800
Bam Adebayo   +4000
Jonathan Isaac   +4000
Zach Collins   +4250
Justin Jackson   +5000
Frank Ntilikina   +6000
Luke Kennard   +6000
Semi Ojeleye   +7500
Lauri Markkanen   +8500
Terrance Ferguson   +9000
Caleb Swanigan   +10000
Frank Mason III   +10000
Derrick White   +12500

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